GOP+Primary

= = =__Delegate Trackers__=
 * __[|Up-to-date primary vote map from NPR]__**

Map 2: Updated //Crystal Ball// ratings of remaining Republican caucus/primary states, based on Romney’s chances of winning


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John King explains winning a state vs. winning delegates in MS and AL


=__Super Tuesday Coverage__=

__[|Super Tuesday Preview]__
ACTON PRELIMINARY ELECTION RESULTS: []

[|MA Town-by-Town Results]

[|State-by-State Results]



Chart 1: Delegate share guesstimates of upcoming GOP contests
//**Notes**: * Represents caucus states. Washington and North Dakota, as mentioned above, are nonbinding, but delegate estimates are based on our best guesses of how voting would translate to delegate selection, assuming the state party conventions abide by the caucus results. Unpledged party official delegates -- essentially Republican “superdelegates” -- are not included in Super Tuesday guesstimates. So, for instance, we have Virginia awarding its 46 delegates to Romney, but Virginia actually has 49 delegates. We would assume those three extra delegates would go to Romney too, but they are not included here.//
 * //Source: Delegates projected through Sean Trende’s useful delegate apportionment tool at RealClearPolitics .//**

=__General Articles__=

__[|GOP Will Be Prolonged Battle]__ - Nate Silver's interpretation of Santorum's Feb 7th sweep
===__[|Low Voter Turnout in Romney Victories]__ - an interesting observation and a liberal spin on events===

__[|Frontrunner is Bleeding]__
=__Florida Analysis__=

__[|Newt's Momentum vs. Mitt's Organization]__
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=__South Carolina Analysis__=

__[|Perry Drops Out]__ - set to endorse Gingrich
=__New Hampshire Recap/Analysis__=

[|Romney in Driver's Seat]
===[|Early Voting in NH] - Romney and Huntsman tie in Dixville Notch, which votes shortly after midnight===

=**__New Hampshire Prep__**=

[|Candidates Seeking Independents in NH]
=__Iowa Recap/Analysis__=

__[|Full Iowa Results]__- includes map and voting results by county
===__[|What Iowa Tells Us]__ - argues that Romney pulled exact same electorate as 2008 and only did better because the Huckabee 2008 vote was scattered among many other candidates=== ===[|Gingrich Set to Attack Romney] - takes out [|full page ad] in NH paper===

[|3 Lessons from Iowa]
===[|How Romney Won Iowa] - detailed description of Romney's stealth organization in Iowa (very long article)===

[|Ups and Downs of Iowa Caucus Candidates] - cool graphic on past Iowa caucus winners
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=__**Calendar**__=

**2) TX moved its primary from Super Tuesday to April 3rd**

 * || Virtually all of the candidate and media attention these days is focused on the early Republican primaries and caucuses. But taken together, they offer only a small fraction of the total number of GOP delegates that will be going to the national convention next summer in Tampa. Heading into Super Tuesday (March 6), only 15% of the GOP delegates will have been chosen. The halfway mark in delegate selection will not come until later in the month, and for one candidate to acquire a nominating majority of roughly 1,142 delegates, it could take much, much longer. ||


 * Note**: The number of events includes primaries or caucuses scheduled in states and territories, as well as Puerto Rico and the District of Columbia. As of Nov. 21, dates were still pending for events in Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands, each with nine delegates.
 * Sources**: Delegate totals are from the Republican National Committee. Presidential primary and caucus dates are mainly from the Federal Election Commission. Both the delegate totals and presidential primary and caucus dates are subject to small changes.

Chart 2: 2012 from January to June: 2012 Republican caucuses and primaries



 * The upcoming Republican presidential nominating campaign is almost certain to be much longer than four years ago. Then, John McCain had the nomination wrapped up by the ides of March, as the crowded calendar of primaries and caucuses in early 2008 was conducive to a quick knockout. This time, the accent on later-voting events makes a long competition for delegates a real possibility and the GOP contest could run at least a month or two longer than last time. There is even the possibility that a new candidate could enter the race in February and have a major impact in the array of spring primaries. ||

**Note**: The delegate counts for the five pre-Super Tuesday primary states have been reduced by 50% to reflect their penalty for violating Republican calendar timing rules. In some states, delegates are elected on different dates by different methods, and in each state and territory three delegates slots are reserved for members of the Republican National Committee. But for the sake of simplicity, all delegates are listed on the date of the state's primary or first-round caucus action. Ohio is currently scheduled to hold its presidential primary June 12 with a March 14 filing deadline. However, there is a chance that the state legislature could reschedule the event for March 6, in which case the filing deadline was Dec. 7. **Sources**: Delegate totals are from the Republican National Committee. Presidential primary and caucus dates as well as primary filing deadlines are primarily from the Federal Election Commission. Both the delegate totals and presidential primary and caucus dates are subject to small changes. Dates of non-binding primaries, such as the Feb. 7 contest in Missouri, are not included.